CLIMATIC VARIABILITY OF THE SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING 1900–2010 IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL RECORDS OF WEST ANTARCTICA
Palabras clave:
Pacific Ocean. West Antarctica. Climatology.Resumen
In this work, we present the climatic evolution of the South Pacific Ocean from 1900 to 2010 and its environmental influence over West Antarctica. We analyzed the sea surface temperature, mean sea level pressure, and meridional wind (850 hPa) of the South Pacific Ocean using ERA-20C reanalysis (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), and compared these parameters with the regional temperature obtained indirectly (by proxy) from two ice cores from the West Antarctic ice sheet (Mount Johns and Ferrigno). The sea surface temperature increased in almost the entire South Pacific Ocean from 1900 to 2010; in the equatorial Pacific, it increased by 2.1 °C from 1916 to 1997, while in the middle latitudes of the South Pacific, it increased by 1.1 °C from 1923 to 2001. This increase occurred concurrently with a positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode and a change the mean sea level pressure anomaly from 1960 onwards. This atmospheric pressure increased at middle latitudes and decreased around Antarctica in the circumpolar low-pressure zone, strengthening the Amundsen Sea Low and changing the pattern of the meridional wind anomaly (850 hPa) between medium and high latitudes in the South Pacific. Furthermore, since 1960, a greater flow from north to south (onshore) has predominated from the southeast South Pacific to the north of West Antarctica. Such changes caused a reduction in the sea ice extent in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas and an increase in average atmospheric temperature primarily in the coastal region of West Antarctica, as demonstrated by the Ferrigno ice core record. Conversely, the Mount Johns region did not show the same trend in atmospheric temperature, as it was influenced mainly by cold air masses from the Antarctic ice sheet.
Descargas
Citas
ABRAM, N. J.; MULVANEY, R.; VIMEUX, F.; PHIPPS, S. J.; TURNER, J.; ENGLAND, M. H. Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past millennium. Nature Climate Change, vol. 4, no. 7, p. 564–569, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2235.
BERRISFORD, P.; DEE, D.; POLI, P.; BRUGGE, R.; FIELDING, K.; FUENTES, M.; KALLBERG, P.; KOBAYASHI, S.; UPPALA, S.; SIMMONS, A. ERA Interim Descripition. ERA report series, 2011. Available at: http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/.
BROMWICH, D. H.; NICOLAS, J. P.; MONAGHAN, A. J.; LAZZARA, M. A.; KELLER, L. M.; WEIDNER, G. A.; WILSON, A. B. Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth. Nature Geoscience, vol. 6, no. 2, p. 139–145, 2013. DOI 10.1038/ngeo1671.
BROOK, E. J.; BUIZERT, C. Antarctic and global climate history viewed from ice cores. Nature, vol. 558, no. 7709, p. 200–208, 2018. DOI 10.1038/s41586-018-0172-5. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0172-5.
CHENG, L.; TRENBERTH, K. E.; FASULLO, J. T.; MAYER, M.; BALMASEDA, M.; ZHU, J. Evolution of ocean heat content related to ENSO. Journal of Climate, vol. 32, no. 12, p. 3529–3556, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0607.1.
CLEM, K. R.; RENWICK, J. A.; MCGREGOR, J. Large-scale forcing of the Amundsen Sea low and its influence on sea ice and west antarctic temperature. Journal of Climate, vol. 30, no. 20, p. 8405–8424, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0891.1.
DANSGAARD, W. Stable isotopes in precipitation. Tellus, vol. 16, no. 4, p. 436–468, 1964. https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v16i4.8993.
DING, Q.; STEIG, E. J.; BATTISTI, D. S.; KÜTTEL, M. Winter warming in West Antarctica caused by central tropical Pacific warming. Nature Geoscience, vol. 4, no. 6, p. 398–403, 2011. DOI 10.1038/ngeo1129.
HOLLAND, D. M.; NICHOLLS, K. W.; BASINSKI, A. The Southern Ocean and its interaction with the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Science, vol. 367, no. 6484, p. 1326–1330, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz5491.
HOSKING, J. S.; ORR, A.; MARSHALL, G. J.; TURNER, J.; PHILLIPS, T. The influence of the amundsen-bellingshausen seas low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations. Journal of Climate, vol. 26, no. 17, p. 6633–6648, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1.
HU, Y.; HUANG, H.; ZHOU, C. Widening and weakening of the Hadley circulation under global warming. Science Bulletin, vol. 63, no. 10, p. 640–644, 30 May 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2018.04.020.
HUDSON, R. D. Measurements of the movement of the jet streams at mid-latitudes, in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, 1979 to 2010. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 12, no. 16, p. 7797–7808, 2012. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-7797-2012.
INOUE, M.; CURRAN, M. A. J.; MOY, A. D.; VAN OMMEN, T. D.; FRASER, A. D.; PHILLIPS, H. E.; GOODWIN, I. D. A glaciochemical study of the 120 m ice core from Mill Island, East Antarctica. Climate of the Past, vol. 13, no. 5, p. 437–453, 2017. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-437-2017.
JONES, J. M.; FOGT, R. L.; WIDMANN, M.; MARSHALL, G. J.; JONES, P. D.; VISBECK, M. Historical SAM variability. Part I: Century-length seasonal reconstructions. Journal of Climate, vol. 22, no. 20, p. 5319–5345, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2785.1.
LEGRAND, M.; MAYEWSKI, P. Glaciochemistry of polar ice cores: A review. Reviews of Geophysics, vol. 35, no. 3, p. 219–243, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1029/96RG03527.
LIU, Z.; ALEXANDER, M. Atmospheric bridge, oceanic tunnel, and global climatic teleconnections. Reviews of Geophysics, vol. 45, no. 2, p. 1–34, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005RG000172.
MARSHALL, G. J. Trends in the Southern Annular Mode from observations and reanalyses. Journal of Climate, vol. 16, no. 24, p. 4134–4143, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<4134:TITSAM>2.0.CO;2.
MARSHALL, G. J.; ORR, A.; VAN LIPZIG, N. P.M.; KING, J. C. The impact of a changing Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode on Antarctic Peninsula summer temperatures. Journal of Climate, vol. 19, no. 20, p. 5388–5404, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3844.1.
MAYEWSKI, P. A.; CARLETON, A. M.; BIRKEL, S. D.; DIXON, D.; KURBATOV, A. V.; KOROTKIKH, E.; MCCONNELL, J.; CURRAN, M.; COLE-DAI, J.; JIANG, S.; PLUMMER, C.; VANCE, T.; MAASCH, K. A.; SNEED, S. B.; HANDLEY, M. Ice core and climate reanalysis analogs to predict Antarctic and Southern Hemisphere climate changes. Quaternary Science Reviews, vol. 155, p. 50–66, 2017. DOI 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.11.017.
MAYEWSKI, P. A.; MAASCH, K. A.; DIXON, D.; SNEED, S. B.; OGLESBY, R.; KOROTKIKH, E.; POTOCKI, M.; GRIGHOLM, B.; KREUTZ, K.; KURBATOV, A. V.; SPAULDING, N.; STAGER, J. C.; TAYLOR, K. C.; STEIG, E. J.; WHITE, J.; BERTLER, N. A. N.; GOODWIN, I.; SIMÕES, J. C.; JAÑA, R.; … FASTOOK, J. West Antarctica’s sensitivity to natural and human-forced climate change over the Holocene. Journal of Quaternary Science, vol. 28, no. 1, p. 40–48, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2593.
NICOLAS, J. P.; BROMWICH, D. H. Climate of West Antarctica and influence of marine air intrusions. Journal of Climate, vol. 24, no. 1, p. 49–67, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3522.1.
PETIT, J. R.; JOUZEL, J.; RAYNAUD, D.; BARKOV, N. I.; BARNOLA, J. M.; BASILE, I.; BENDER, M.; CHAPPELLAZ, J.; DAVIS, M.; DELAYGUE, G.; DELMOTTE, M.; KOTIYAKOV, V. M.; LEGRAND, M.; LIPENKOV, V. Y.; LORIUS, C.; PÉPIN, L.; RITZ, C.; SALTZMAN, E.; STIEVENARD, M. Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica. Nature, vol. 399, no. 6735, p. 429–436, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1038/20859.
POLI, P.; HERSBACH, H.; DEE, D. P.; BERRISFORD, P.; SIMMONS, A. J.; VITART, F.; LALOYAUX, P.; TAN, D. G.H.; PEUBEY, C.; THÉPAUT, J. N.; TRÉMOLET, Y.; HÓLM, E. V.; BONAVITA, M.; ISAKSEN, L.; FISHER, M. ERA-20C: An atmospheric reanalysis of the twentieth century. Journal of Climate, vol. 29, no. 11, p. 4083–4097, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0556.1.
POLI, P.; HERSBACH, H.; TAN, D.; DEE, D.; THÉPAUT, J. N.; SIMMONS, A.; PEUBEY, C.; LALOYAUX, P.; KOMORI, T.; BERRISFORD, P.; DRAGANI, R.; TRÉMOLET, Y.; HΌLM, E.; BONAVITA, M.; ISAKSEN, L.; FISHER, M. ERA report series: The data assimilation system and initial performance evaluation of the ECMWF pilot reanalysis of the 20th-century assimilating surface observations only (ERA-20C). , p. 1–62, 2015.
RAPHAEL, M. N.; MARSHALL, G. J.; TURNER, J.; FOGT, R. L.; SCHNEIDER, D.; DIXON, D. A.; HOSKING, J. S.; JONES, J. M.; HOBBS, W. R. The Amundsen sea low: Variability, change, and impact on Antarctic climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 97, no. 1, p. 111–121, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00018.1.
SCHWANCK, F.; SIMÕES, J. C.; HANDLEY, M.; MAYEWSKI, P. A.; AUGER, J. D.; BERNARDO, R. T.; AQUINO, F. E. A 125-year record of climate and chemistry variability at the Pine Island Glacier ice divide, Antarctica. Cryosphere, vol. 11, no. 4, p. 1537–1552, 2017. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-1537-2017.
SIMÕES, J. C. Glossário da língua portuguesa da neve, do gelo e termos correlatos. Pesquisa Antártica Brasileira, vol. 4, p. 119–154, 2004. Available at: http://ftp2.cnpq.br/pub/doc/proantar/pab-12.pdf.
STEIG, E. J.; DING, Q.; WHITE, J. W.C.; KÜTTEL, M.; RUPPER, S. B.; NEUMANN, T. A.; NEFF, P. D.; GALLANT, A. J.E.; MAYEWSKI, P. A.; TAYLOR, K. C.; HOFFMANN, G.; DIXON, D. A.; SCHOENEMANN, S. W.; MARKLE, B. R.; FUDGE, T. J.; SCHNEIDER, D. P.; SCHAUER, A. J.; TEEL, R. P.; VAUGHN, B. H.; … KOROTKIKH, E. Recent climate and ice-sheet changes in West Antarctica compared with the past 2,000 years. Nature Geoscience, vol. 6, no. 5, p. 372–375, 2013. DOI 10.1038/ngeo1778.
STEIG, E. J.; SCHNEIDER, D. P.; RUTHERFORD, S. D.; MANN, M. E.; COMISO, J. C.; SHINDELL, D. T. Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year. Nature, vol. 457, no. 7228, p. 459–462, 2009. DOI 10.1038/nature07669.
THOEN, I. U.; SIMÕES, J. C.; LINDAU, F. G. L.; SNEED, S. B. Ionic content in an ice core from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet: 1882–2008 A.D. Brazilian Journal of Geology, vol. 48, no. 4, p. 853–865, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1590/2317-4889201820180037.
THOMAS, E. R.; HOSKING, J. S.; TUCKWELL, R. R.; WARREN, R. A.; LUDLOW, E. C. Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 42, no. 21, p. 9387–9393, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065750.
THOMAS, E. R.; BRACEGIRDLE, T. J.; TURNER, J.; WOLFF, E. W. A 308 year record of climate variability in West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 40, no. 20, p. 5492–5496, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057782.
THOMPSON, D. W. J.; SOLOMON, S. Interpretation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change. Science, vol. 296, no. 5569, p. 895–899, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1069270.
THOMPSON, D. W. J.; SOLOMON, S.; KUSHNER, P. J.; ENGLAND, M. H.; GRISE, K. M.; KAROLY, D. J. Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change. Nature Geoscience, vol. 4, no. 11, p. 741–749, 2011. DOI 10.1038/ngeo1296.
TRENBERTH, K. E. Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Research, vol. 47, no. 1–2, p. 123–138, 2011. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00953.
TURNER, J. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Antarctica. International Journal of Climatology, vol. 24, no. 1, p. 1–31, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.965.
TURNER, J.; COMISO, J. C.; MARSHALL, G. J.; LACHLAN-COPE, T. A.; BRACEGIRDLE, T.; MAKSYM, T.; MEREDITH, M. P.; WANG, Z.; ORR, A. Non-annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 36, no. 8, p. 1–5, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037524.
TURNER, J.; PHILLIPS, T.; HOSKING, J. S.; MARSHALL, G. J.; ORR, A. The amundsen sea low. International Journal of Climatology, vol. 33, no. 7, p. 1818–1829, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3558.
WOLFF, E. W. Chemical signals of past climate and environment from polar ice cores and firn air. Chemical Society Reviews, vol. 41, no. 19, p. 6247–6258, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1039/c2cs35227c.
WOLFF, E. W.; RANKIN, A. M.; RÖTHLISBERGER, R. An ice core indicator of Antarctic sea ice production? Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 30, no. 22, p. 2–5, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018454.
YUAN, X.; KAPLAN, M. R.; CANE, M. A. The interconnected global climate system-a review of tropical-polar teleconnections. Journal of Climate, vol. 31, no. 15, p. 5765–5792, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0637.1.
Descargas
Publicado
Cómo citar
Número
Sección
Licencia
A aprovação dos artigos implica a aceitação imediata e sem ônus de que a Revista Brasileira de Climatologia terá exclusividade na primeira publicação do artigo. Os autores continuarão, não obstante, a deter os direitos autorais. Os autores autorizam também que seus artigos sejam disponibilizados em todos os indexadores aos quais a revista está vinculada.
Os autores mantém seus direitos de publicação sem restrições
A Comissão Editorial não se responsabiliza pelos conceitos ou afirmações expressos nos trabalhos publicados, que são de inteira responsabilidade dos autores.
A Revista Brasileira de Climatologia oferece acesso livre imediato ao seu conteúdo, seguindo o entendimento de que disponibilizar gratuitamente o conhecimento científico ao público proporciona maior democratização do conhecimento e tende a produzir maior impacto dos artigos publicados. Os artigos publicados na revista são disponibilizados segundo a Licença Creative Commons CC-BY-NC 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/). Segundo essa licença é permitido acessar, distribuir e reutilizar os artigos para fins não comerciais desde que citados os autores e a fonte. Ao submeter artigos à Revista Brasileira de Climatologia, os autores concordam em tornar seus textos legalmente disponíveis segundo essa licença